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Giorgio Cafiero


Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

Analysis: The drone and missile attack hurt the UAE's reputation as a stable business hub with airtight security, with potential implications for Abu Dhabi's role in Yemen and regional de-escalation.

19 January, 2022

Analysis: Dictators and despots across the Middle East have benefited from the myth of authoritarian stability, which many Western governments fully embrace.

05 January, 2022

Analysis: Looking ahead to 2022, it is safe to assume that the UAE will continue working to bring Syria back into the region's diplomatic fold. However, not all in the GCC favour renormalising ties.

29 December, 2021

Analysis: It's not all about military cooperation, arms sales, trade, and economics. Diplomacy and soft power are also significant in Ankara, Baku, and Islamabad's trilateral ties.

23 December, 2021

Analysis: After the coup, Washington seems satisfied with a partial solution that restores aid and re-establishes Khartoum's international relations but falls short of Sudanese demands for a civilian takeover.

20 December, 2021

Analysis: Despite the moral costs of rehabilitating the crown prince's image, France's president will probably not be the last Western head of state to meet MBS in Saudi Arabia.

14 December, 2021

Analysis: Rabat's normalisation agreement with Israel has led to a worrying thaw in the frozen conflict between Algeria and Morocco, with the potential for future escalation.

09 December, 2021

Analysis: As regional countries come to terms with the Assad regime's survival, Syria could become an arena of growing geopolitical and economic competition between Tehran and Abu Dhabi.

18 November, 2021

Analysis: With elections scheduled for late December, the visit to Israel by Haftar's son signals the Libyan general's intent to invest in a partnership with Tel Aviv if he were to become president.

16 November, 2021

Analysis: While Sudanese civil society has worked tirelessly to advance the country along a path to democracy, it is no secret that a host of governments throughout the Arab region have not shared the same goal.

26 October, 2021