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Giorgio Cafiero

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Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

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Could Saudi-Iran talks finally defuse the region's biggest rivalry?

26 April, 2021

Analysis: Few expect major changes in Saudi-Iranian relations any time soon, but recent talks in Iraq signal a potential de-escalation after years of animosity.

How America's 'maximum pressure' pushed Iran closer to China

06 April, 2021

Analysis: The US policy of 'maximum pressure' has helped China gain greater leverage in the Middle East, where American influence continues to decline.

What's driving the thaw in Egypt-Turkey relations?

16 March, 2021

Analysis: The door is potentially open to a new chapter in Egypt-Turkey relations following nearly eight years of tense ties between the two regional powers.

Why all the mudslinging against Iran envoy Robert Malley?

29 January, 2021

Comment: Biden's pick signals a determination to get negotiations with Iran back on track, despite objections from vocal Iran hawks in Washington and the Middle East, writes Giorgio Cafiero.

Where does Gulf reconciliation leave the UAE?

13 January, 2021

Analysis: While the GCC summit constituted a historic breakthrough, it merely addressed a symptom of the Gulf crisis without resolving its root causes.

How Morocco-Israel normalisation could push Algeria closer to Russia

15 December, 2020

Analysis: Threatened by Arab-Israeli normalisation deals and US recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara, Algeria's ties to Washington could weaken as it moves closer to Russia.

Fakhrizadeh's assassination: A new obstacle for US-Iran diplomacy

02 December, 2020

Analysis: The assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh will make it harder for Joe Biden to bring Washington and Tehran to a new understanding.

Biden as president: Winners and losers in the GCC

12 November, 2020

Analysis: With Trump's chaotic presidency coming to an end, Gulf states are preparing for major changes in Washington that could heavily impact the Middle East.

Iran's dilemma in Nagorno-Karabakh

15 October, 2020

Analysis: Sharing borders with Armenia and Azerbaijan, Iran is walking a geopolitical tightrope with the crisis.

Qatar boldly defends Arab Peace Initiative at UN

28 September, 2020

Comment: Qatar has reiterated its steadfast commitment to the Arab Peace Initiative, despite Washington's push for normalisation, writes Giorgio Cafiero.

Naming Qatar a major non-NATO ally

23 September, 2020

Analysis: The move would be a huge boost to the US-Qatar partnership and another reminder of how the blockade has failed to drive a wedge between Washington and Doha.

Covid-19: Yemen's 'unprecedented calamity'

24 July, 2020

Comment: The Covid-19 crisis has only added more vitriol and hostility to relations between the three sides of Yemen's conflict, writes Giorgio Cafiero.

Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

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