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Giorgio Cafiero

Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

Analysis: The war is helping Assad emerge from pariah status, but Israel's bombing and the threat of expansion pose serious threats.

14 December, 2023

Analysis: Jordan's relationship with Israel is in unchartered territory. While many experts doubt that Amman would abrogate its peace treaty any time soon, the possibility of it happening cannot be completely ruled out.

05 December, 2023

Analysis: Israel has no coherent roadmap for Gaza's future, with the return of the Palestinian Authority, an Arab/international military presence, or an Israeli re-occupation all creating new problems of their own.

27 November, 2023

Analysis: The unwavering US and Western support for Israel's devastating war on Gaza is doing long-term damage to the legitimacy of the 'rules-based order'.

20 November, 2023

Analysis: After a decade of tense ties, relations between Ankara and Tel Aviv had been slowly renormalising, but Israel's war on Gaza could see the process unravel once again.

14 November, 2023

Analysis: Qatar's alliance with the US and pragmatic regional ties have long enabled it to play a vital mediation role in the region.

06 November, 2023

Analysis: With Israel's war on Gaza, the administration's regional security strategy has crumbled. Will Biden continue down a path that risks the US' reputation and his own re-election?

31 October, 2023

Analysis: Policymakers in the Arab world are concerned not only about the potential of a regional war but also about whether popular mobilisation for Palestine could turn into dissent against ruling elites.

24 October, 2023

Analysis: Mindful of Ukraine and any potential regional conflict between Israel and Iran, Russia is watching how the Gaza war unfolds with caution.

17 October, 2023

Analysis: The unprecedented attack by Hamas, and Israel's ruthless response, could change the strategic calculations of Saudi Arabia in normalising ties with Tel Aviv, while posing a challenge to wider regional security alignments.

10 October, 2023